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AHT: 02CSV

29 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.8%
Airdrie Utd
19.7%
Draw
19.5%
Queen of Sth

Expected Goals (xG)

2.43

Airdrie Utd

vs
1.34

Queen of Sth

Markets

BTTS67.8%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.589.5%
Over 2.572.6%
Over 3.552.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.1%
1-1
8.0%
3-1
7.4%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-0
5.5%
1-0
5.1%
1-2
5.0%
3-2
4.9%
4-1
4.5%
4-0
3.3%
4-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).