Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.9%
Karlsruhe
24.8%
Draw
43.2%
Bielefeld
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Karlsruhe
vs
1.78
Bielefeld
Markets
BTTS65.7%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.563.7%
Over 3.541.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
5.9%
0-1
5.7%
1-3
5.3%
0-0
4.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-0
4.3%
2-3
4.0%
3-1
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).