Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.1%
Famalicao
27.8%
Draw
12.1%
Tondela
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Famalicao
vs
0.52
Tondela
Markets
BTTS32.1%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.560.1%
Over 2.532.3%
Over 3.514.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.2%
2-0
14.8%
0-0
14.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-0
7.3%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
4-0
2.7%
2-2
2.0%
0-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).