Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.5%
Troyes
21.9%
Draw
18.6%
Chambly
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Troyes
vs
0.82
Chambly
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
2-0
11.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
0-1
7.4%
0-0
7.0%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
3.9%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).