Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →3.3%
Ebbsfleet
9.3%
Draw
87.4%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
0.59
Ebbsfleet
vs
3.27
Notts County
Markets
BTTS43.2%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.590.1%
Over 2.574.1%
Over 3.553.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
12.3%
0-2
11.2%
0-4
10.0%
1-3
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
0-5
6.6%
0-1
6.5%
1-4
5.9%
1-1
4.4%
1-5
3.9%
0-0
2.4%
2-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).