Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.1%
Dag and Red
29.1%
Draw
45.8%
Southend
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Dag and Red
vs
1.40
Southend
Markets
BTTS48.1%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.521.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
0-1
11.9%
0-0
10.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).