Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.0%
Bury
21.7%
Draw
48.3%
Thatcham Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Bury
vs
1.89
Thatcham Town
Markets
BTTS64.7%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.564.9%
Over 3.542.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-1
7.0%
0-1
7.0%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-3
4.2%
0-3
4.0%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).