Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.1%
Schalke 04
28.6%
Draw
26.3%
Nurnberg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Schalke 04
vs
1.06
Nurnberg
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
10.5%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).