Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.1%
Darmstadt
18.0%
Draw
14.9%
Karlsruhe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.65
Darmstadt
vs
1.22
Karlsruhe
Markets
BTTS66.3%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.590.5%
Over 2.574.2%
Over 3.554.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.9%
3-1
7.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-0
6.4%
2-2
5.5%
4-1
5.2%
1-0
4.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-0
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
4-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).