Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.0%
Fylde
29.7%
Draw
41.3%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Fylde
vs
1.32
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.521.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-1
11.1%
0-0
10.4%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).