⚽ FootballData
0 – 2
AHT: 02CSV

27 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
26.0%
Gillingham
25.5%
Draw
48.4%
Charlton

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Gillingham

vs
1.36

Charlton

Markets

BTTS43.3%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.2%
1-1
11.7%
1-0
10.4%
0-2
9.6%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).