Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.0%
Caen
20.0%
Draw
63.0%
Paris FC
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Caen
vs
1.90
Paris FC
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.0%
0-2
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.5%
0-3
7.3%
1-0
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
0-0
5.6%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
4.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-4
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).