Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.3%
Stuttgart
24.4%
Draw
42.3%
Dortmund
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Stuttgart
vs
1.76
Dortmund
Markets
BTTS65.9%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.564.2%
Over 3.542.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
6.8%
0-1
5.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.2%
1-0
4.9%
0-0
4.4%
2-0
4.4%
2-3
4.0%
3-1
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).