Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.3%
Evesham United
20.0%
Draw
35.7%
Newcastle
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
Evesham United
vs
1.92
Newcastle
Markets
BTTS75.1%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.591.0%
Over 2.577.0%
Over 3.557.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
1-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
3-1
5.4%
3-2
5.2%
2-3
4.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-0
4.0%
1-0
3.9%
0-1
3.5%
3-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).