Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.8%
Milton Keynes Dons
23.7%
Draw
27.5%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Milton Keynes Dons
vs
1.05
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
9.1%
2-0
8.8%
0-0
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).