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27 Apr 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.6%
Wigan
25.1%
Draw
22.3%
Bristol Rvs

Expected Goals (xG)

1.42

Wigan

vs
0.80

Bristol Rvs

Markets

BTTS40.9%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
10.9%
0-0
9.8%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
5.0%
3-1
4.1%
2-2
3.5%
0-2
3.5%
4-0
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).