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27 Sept 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.3%
Zorya Luhansk
27.0%
Draw
18.8%
Obolon'

Expected Goals (xG)

1.49

Zorya Luhansk

vs
0.76

Obolon'

Markets

BTTS41.8%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
11.7%
0-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.6%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).