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DHT: 11CSV

21 Aug 2023 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.2%
Ankaragucu
25.9%
Draw
16.9%
Ad. Demirspor

Expected Goals (xG)

2.04

Ankaragucu

vs
1.08

Ad. Demirspor

Markets

BTTS59.8%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.560.2%
Over 3.537.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.2%
0-0
6.9%
3-1
6.7%
1-0
6.6%
3-0
6.3%
2-2
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-1
3.4%
4-0
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).