Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.7%
Augsburg
30.9%
Draw
36.4%
Mainz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Augsburg
vs
1.14
Mainz
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
11.9%
0-1
11.6%
1-0
10.8%
1-2
7.6%
0-2
7.1%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
0-3
2.7%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).