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AHT: 01

10 Mar 2026 · 19:45

Hull

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.1%
Wrexham
24.1%
Draw
26.7%
Hull

Expected Goals (xG)

1.88

Wrexham

vs
1.35

Hull

Markets

BTTS63.7%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.540.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
7.0%
1-2
6.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-1
5.9%
0-0
4.8%
0-1
4.5%
3-0
4.4%
3-2
4.0%
0-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).