Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.2%
Le Havre
31.8%
Draw
41.0%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Le Havre
vs
0.96
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS30.6%
Over 0.582.4%
Over 1.549.0%
Over 2.523.7%
Over 3.59.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.0%
0-0
17.6%
1-0
14.4%
1-1
11.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-0
4.8%
2-1
4.6%
0-3
2.8%
2-2
2.2%
1-3
2.0%
3-0
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).