Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.4%
Charlton
18.5%
Draw
13.1%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Charlton
vs
0.71
Crewe
Markets
BTTS43.2%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
2-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
8.8%
1-1
8.7%
3-1
6.3%
0-0
5.9%
0-1
5.5%
4-0
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-2
3.4%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).