Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.6%
Brescia
31.2%
Draw
29.2%
Perugia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Brescia
vs
1.02
Perugia
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.518.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.9%
1-0
11.7%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).