Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →2.1%
Sheffield Weds
13.0%
Draw
84.8%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
0.22
Sheffield Weds
vs
2.33
Burnley
Markets
BTTS18.3%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
21.2%
0-1
17.8%
0-3
16.4%
0-4
9.6%
0-0
8.1%
1-2
4.7%
0-5
4.5%
1-1
4.4%
1-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
1-0
1.4%
1-5
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).