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AHT: 03CSV

16 Jan 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.8%
Stranraer
34.4%
Draw
52.8%
Peterhead

Expected Goals (xG)

0.40

Stranraer

vs
1.11

Peterhead

Markets

BTTS23.0%
Over 0.577.3%
Over 1.545.3%
Over 2.519.5%
Over 3.56.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
23.8%
0-0
22.7%
0-2
13.5%
1-1
10.5%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
5.5%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
2.0%
2-1
2.0%
2-0
1.8%
0-4
1.4%
2-2
1.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).