Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.7%
Middlesbrough
24.1%
Draw
14.3%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Middlesbrough
vs
0.76
Luton
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.8%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.4%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).