Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.6%
Peterboro
18.2%
Draw
26.2%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
2.38
Peterboro
vs
1.61
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS71.9%
Over 0.598.7%
Over 1.590.2%
Over 2.576.0%
Over 3.556.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-1
6.7%
1-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
3-2
5.4%
2-0
5.3%
1-0
5.0%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
4.0%
2-3
3.6%
0-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).