Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.0%
Darmstadt
27.8%
Draw
25.2%
Schalke 04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Darmstadt
vs
1.07
Schalke 04
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.7%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).