Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.8%
Paderborn
23.6%
Draw
22.6%
Magdeburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99
Paderborn
vs
1.24
Magdeburg
Markets
BTTS62.3%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.540.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.8%
1-0
6.9%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
3-0
5.2%
0-0
4.9%
3-2
4.0%
0-1
4.0%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).