Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.8%
Burnley
19.5%
Draw
14.7%
Sheffield United
Expected Goals (xG)
2.51
Burnley
vs
1.16
Sheffield United
Markets
BTTS64.1%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.589.2%
Over 2.571.0%
Over 3.550.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-0
8.0%
3-1
7.8%
3-0
6.7%
2-2
5.4%
1-0
5.4%
4-1
4.9%
3-2
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
4-0
4.2%
0-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).