Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.6%
Bolton
22.5%
Draw
18.9%
Burton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Bolton
vs
0.79
Burton
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
2-0
11.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
7.9%
0-0
7.8%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).