Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.2%
Chesterfield
24.3%
Draw
48.5%
Barnet
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Chesterfield
vs
1.86
Barnet
Markets
BTTS63.4%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.562.2%
Over 3.540.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
7.0%
2-1
6.9%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
1-3
5.8%
0-0
4.9%
1-0
4.6%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
3.9%
2-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).