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AHT: 11CSV

03 Feb 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.3%
Shrewsbury
26.7%
Draw
36.0%
Cambridge

Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

Shrewsbury

vs
1.10

Cambridge

Markets

BTTS43.8%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.518.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.3%
0-1
13.0%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
3-0
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).