Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.4%
Sheffield Weds
30.7%
Draw
49.0%
Blackburn
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Sheffield Weds
vs
1.30
Blackburn
Markets
BTTS39.0%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.533.5%
Over 3.515.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.9%
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.4%
0-2
11.0%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
0-3
4.8%
2-1
4.6%
2-0
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-2
3.0%
0-4
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).