Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.1%
Caen
23.8%
Draw
39.1%
Chambly
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Caen
vs
1.37
Chambly
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
0-1
10.2%
1-0
9.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
0-2
6.3%
2-0
5.9%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).