Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.8%
Parma
19.9%
Draw
9.3%
Bari
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
Parma
vs
0.66
Bari
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.531.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.9%
1-0
12.1%
3-0
9.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
6.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-0
5.3%
4-1
3.5%
0-1
3.1%
2-2
3.0%
1-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).