Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.9%
Fulham
28.0%
Draw
37.1%
Newcastle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Fulham
vs
1.47
Newcastle
Markets
BTTS60.0%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.532.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
0-0
7.2%
0-1
6.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
6.1%
0-2
6.0%
2-0
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
3.9%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).