Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.1%
Bury
28.4%
Draw
20.5%
Slimbridge
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Bury
vs
0.70
Slimbridge
Markets
BTTS35.9%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.558.5%
Over 2.531.9%
Over 3.514.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.1%
0-0
13.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
11.4%
0-1
10.0%
2-1
7.9%
3-0
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
3-1
3.4%
0-2
3.3%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).