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DHT: 01CSV

12 Apr 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.2%
Cosenza
32.3%
Draw
38.5%
Brescia

Expected Goals (xG)

0.97

Cosenza

vs
1.15

Brescia

Markets

BTTS43.6%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.535.4%
Over 3.516.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.7%
0-0
13.4%
0-1
12.5%
1-0
10.4%
0-2
8.0%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
3.7%
0-3
3.0%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).