Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.6%
Samsunspor
32.6%
Draw
21.8%
Sivasspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Samsunspor
vs
0.97
Sivasspor
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.6%
0-0
11.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
6.0%
0-1
5.3%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).