Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.4%
Ceuta
23.1%
Draw
37.5%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Ceuta
vs
1.60
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS64.2%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.562.8%
Over 3.540.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-2
6.7%
1-0
6.5%
0-1
6.4%
2-0
5.3%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
1-3
4.4%
0-0
3.8%
3-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).