Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.1%
Bordeaux
20.1%
Draw
57.8%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Bordeaux
vs
2.13
Lille
Markets
BTTS62.6%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.565.6%
Over 3.543.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.7%
1-1
8.8%
0-2
7.7%
0-1
7.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-2
6.0%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-3
4.3%
1-4
3.6%
0-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).