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25 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.3%
Gorica
31.3%
Draw
30.4%
Istra 1961

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Gorica

vs
1.08

Istra 1961

Markets

BTTS48.5%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.8%
0-0
11.4%
1-0
10.6%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).