Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.7%
Wolfsburg
25.2%
Draw
35.1%
M'gladbach
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Wolfsburg
vs
1.52
M'gladbach
Markets
BTTS63.6%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.538.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
6.6%
1-0
6.2%
0-1
5.7%
2-0
5.7%
0-0
5.1%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).