Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.8%
Ajaccio
28.1%
Draw
41.2%
Sochaux
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Ajaccio
vs
1.12
Sochaux
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.559.5%
Over 2.533.6%
Over 3.515.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.6%
1-0
13.0%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
11.8%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).