Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.5%
Kelty Hearts
23.8%
Draw
50.7%
Dumbarton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Kelty Hearts
vs
1.89
Dumbarton
Markets
BTTS62.3%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.539.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.4%
0-1
7.1%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
6.2%
1-3
6.0%
0-0
4.8%
1-0
4.7%
0-3
4.7%
2-3
3.9%
2-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).