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04 Mar 2026 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.7%
Luzern
20.9%
Draw
32.4%
Holker Old Boys

Expected Goals (xG)

2.48

Luzern

vs
2.09

Holker Old Boys

Markets

BTTS81.2%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.595.2%
Over 2.583.4%
Over 3.566.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-2
7.0%
2-1
6.7%
1-1
6.3%
3-2
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
2-3
4.8%
3-3
4.0%
1-3
3.9%
4-2
3.6%
4-1
3.4%
2-0
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).