Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.8%
Heidenheim
16.1%
Draw
10.1%
Greuther Furth
Expected Goals (xG)
2.74
Heidenheim
vs
0.97
Greuther Furth
Markets
BTTS58.7%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.589.1%
Over 2.571.6%
Over 3.550.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
1-1
7.1%
1-0
6.1%
4-0
5.7%
4-1
5.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-2
4.0%
1-2
3.2%
5-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).