Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.9%
Vallecano
36.9%
Draw
26.2%
Getafe
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Vallecano
vs
0.67
Getafe
Markets
BTTS28.7%
Over 0.578.0%
Over 1.545.7%
Over 2.519.9%
Over 3.57.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
22.0%
1-0
18.1%
0-1
14.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
5.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
3-0
2.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-1
1.5%
0-3
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).