Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.8%
Lens
25.8%
Draw
21.4%
Chateauroux
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Lens
vs
0.75
Chateauroux
Markets
BTTS38.3%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.535.6%
Over 3.516.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
11.3%
0-0
11.0%
0-1
10.0%
2-1
8.5%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).